1. Why is the mullahs’ presidential "election" that is scheduled to be held on May 19 important?
There are three factors that are important for Khamenei when it comes to selecting the new president, first is the internal factor, the fear of an uprising like 2009, and the wish to prevent a similar event. The second factor is international, will they back of and accept all terms or stand up and risk confrontation. The third is the problem of succession in the supreme leadership.2. What is the election process and who can run?
The election in Iran is nothing like the democratic elections we know, the guardian council has to approve every candidate.
There are only candidates from the regime itself. The candidate also has to express loyalty to the Constitution and progressive principle of Velayat-e Faqih” (or absolute rule of a religious leader).
3. What does "elections" mean within the clerical regime?
Elections in the clerical regime are power sharing between various factions of the brutal regime of Velayat-e-Faqih. Total power remains in the hands of the supreme leader and elections have no resemblance to modern democratic society.4. What is the scope of power and authority of the president in the mullahs' regime?
the Iranian president does not have the same type of power as the French or American president, in Iran, that type of power is the supreme leader. All decisions made by the president can be overruled by the supreme leader.
5. What is the message of internal factions of the regime and what are their differences with each other?
the different fractions in Iran are not the type of opposition we are used to but more like fighting inside the regime.
6. What are the circumstances affecting the current presidential elections?
The regime and Khamenei were weakened and internal crises have been intensified. Rouhani failed, the people are discontent, there has been no improvement in economic and social terms.
secondly, with Obama's departure, the regime lost a major ally and the regime is concerned about the hardline of the new administration in Washington.
Thirdly Complete transfer of thousands of PMOI/MEK members from Camp Liberty and Ashraf in Iraq to European countries shocked the regime. Despite their efforts, they failed to massacre MEK/PMOI members which were a major blow to the regime.
Fourth – The death of former President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, has weakened the regime and has left the Rouhani faction without support, giving Khamenei a freer hand to consolidate his rule.
7. What are Khamenei’s major concern and the regime's most important red line?
Khamenei's main red line is the uprising of the people. nothing scares the regime more than people’s free will. they are doing all in their power to prevent an uprising like the one in 2009.
8.Who are the two main candidates?
Ebrahim Raisi, has been in the judiciary since the beginning, issuing death sentences. He was a member of the death commission that executed 30 000 political prisoners during the summer of 1988.
Hassan Rouhani has been directly involved in all crimes committed by the regime including repression, war and sending young kids and juveniles to the minefields. He was involved in the suppression of the popular uprising in 1999. He was silent about the massacre in 1988. He described the 3000 executions under his tenure as the implementation of divine law.
9. What does Ebrahim Raisi’s candidacy mean and what message does it send?
With the candidacy of Raisi Khamenei is trying to advance the line of contraction of the regime and implement his consolidated power.
10. What are the prospects?
with Raisi the base will get smaller and the discontent in the regime will rise, with Rouhani as president, Khamenei as the supreme leader will be in a weaker position to choose a successor.
11. How serious is Khamenei's succession issue?
If Khamenei fails to get Raisi elected the crisis in the regime will deepen and the succession for supreme leader will be at risk.
12. What is the takeaway from all these factors?
There is no difference between the two, both are exporting terror and fundamentalism.
The election in Iran is nothing like the democratic elections we know, the guardian council has to approve every candidate.
There are only candidates from the regime itself. The candidate also has to express loyalty to the Constitution and progressive principle of Velayat-e Faqih” (or absolute rule of a religious leader).
3. What does "elections" mean within the clerical regime?
the Iranian president does not have the same type of power as the French or American president, in Iran, that type of power is the supreme leader. All decisions made by the president can be overruled by the supreme leader.
5. What is the message of internal factions of the regime and what are their differences with each other?
the different fractions in Iran are not the type of opposition we are used to but more like fighting inside the regime.
6. What are the circumstances affecting the current presidential elections?
The regime and Khamenei were weakened and internal crises have been intensified. Rouhani failed, the people are discontent, there has been no improvement in economic and social terms.
secondly, with Obama's departure, the regime lost a major ally and the regime is concerned about the hardline of the new administration in Washington.
Thirdly Complete transfer of thousands of PMOI/MEK members from Camp Liberty and Ashraf in Iraq to European countries shocked the regime. Despite their efforts, they failed to massacre MEK/PMOI members which were a major blow to the regime.
Fourth – The death of former President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, has weakened the regime and has left the Rouhani faction without support, giving Khamenei a freer hand to consolidate his rule.
7. What are Khamenei’s major concern and the regime's most important red line?
Khamenei's main red line is the uprising of the people. nothing scares the regime more than people’s free will. they are doing all in their power to prevent an uprising like the one in 2009.
8.Who are the two main candidates?
Ebrahim Raisi, has been in the judiciary since the beginning, issuing death sentences. He was a member of the death commission that executed 30 000 political prisoners during the summer of 1988.
Hassan Rouhani has been directly involved in all crimes committed by the regime including repression, war and sending young kids and juveniles to the minefields. He was involved in the suppression of the popular uprising in 1999. He was silent about the massacre in 1988. He described the 3000 executions under his tenure as the implementation of divine law.
9. What does Ebrahim Raisi’s candidacy mean and what message does it send?
With the candidacy of Raisi Khamenei is trying to advance the line of contraction of the regime and implement his consolidated power.
10. What are the prospects?
with Raisi the base will get smaller and the discontent in the regime will rise, with Rouhani as president, Khamenei as the supreme leader will be in a weaker position to choose a successor.
11. How serious is Khamenei's succession issue?
If Khamenei fails to get Raisi elected the crisis in the regime will deepen and the succession for supreme leader will be at risk.
12. What is the takeaway from all these factors?
There is no difference between the two, both are exporting terror and fundamentalism.
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